Doug Franz College Football Playoff - Week 3
In case you don't know from the things I've said on air. I hate the BCS but I don't have a problem with the BCS formula. I just don't want it used to narrow the field from 124 to 2.
Although I'm thrilled we will have a four-team playoff soon. I've always wanted a 16-team playoff. I'm not being greedy because the new system will be so much better than the BCS. I just want to implement some of the greatness of March Madness while rewarding conference champions.
I put before you the Doug Franz College Football Playoff. It is the only playoff system that actually makes every non-conference game vital to each conference because it could determine if your conference champion is in the playoff. It improves on the basketball tournament because teams don't get in the playoff just by winning their conference. They have to win one of the conferences ranked in the Top 8 (as opposed to the NCAA basketball tournament where every conference champion is in).
Every week the BCS rankings will change, therefore changing the teams making the playoff. Check in each week and see how things have changed. At the end of the season, it's up to you to pick the winners of each game and set in motion the championship challenge.
If you want an explanation for the way my formula works, check the bottom of the blog.
Here's the playoff pairings if the regular season ended today:
16) Utah State @ 1) Alabama
15) Toledo @ 2) Kansas St
14) Rutgers @ 3) Notre Dame
13) Nebraska @ 4) Oregon
12) Oklahoma @ 5) LSU
11) Oregon St @ 6) Georgia
10) Louisville @ 7) Florida
9) FSU @ 8) South Carolina
Last week, I had Oklahoma hosting USC. Now the Trojans are out of the DFCFP thanks to a loss at Arizona, while Oklahoma lost a home game.
Last week Michigan had the #14 seed and Nebraska was on the outside looking in. Nebraska beats Michigan and takes the #13 seed while Michigan is out (who says the regular season doesn't matter with a playoff).
Rutgers beat Kent State, but drops a spot in the playoff because Michigan previously represented the Big 10 Champion but with Nebraska in the playoff, Rutgers drops because Nebraska is ranked higher.
South Carolina had home games in the first two rounds just three weeks ago. Two weeks ago, one home game but an easier road trip in their 2nd playoff game 2 weeks ago. They were knocked out last week after the loss to Florida. This week they're back in and they get a home game against a team from down the street.
The SEC has five teams in the DFCFP. No other conference has more than 2.
I love the Nebraska road trip. The best fans in college football trying to buy tickets in a stadium that sells out every game would be classic.
If Oregon wins, they host LSU. Revenge from last year's beatdown in Dallas?
By ranking every team 1-124, you get a true representation of the best conference by taking the average BCS rank of every team in the conference. This playoff system makes every college football game in the country vital because it rewards teams and conferences alike. Here's the ranking of the conferences after week 1 of the BCS and the average BCS rank of the teams in the conference.
1) Big 12: 33.9
2) SEC: 41.58
3) Pac-12: 44.75
4) Big 10: 50.08
5) ACC: 62.08
6) Big East: 62.75
7) WAC: 79.43
8) MAC: 79.77
9) MWC: 81.4
10) Sun Belt: 82.5
11) C-USA: 89
The money line is being one of the top eight conferences (explanation below). The pressure on every team in conferences 7-10 is intense because every game could determine if your conference champion gets in the playoff. The MAC was 8th last week. The WAC drops to 8th which puts them in jeopardy of getting pushed out. The Mountain West and Sun Belt are right on the heels of the WAC. Boise State and Louisiana-Monroe are both higher ranked teams than Utah State but the overall rating of the teams in the WAC keeps their champ in the playoff.
The WAC would be talking so much trash if this truly worked out. Not only did a faction of teams breakaway from the WAC to form the Mountain West in the first place, but also Boise State and Nevada just left the WAC for the MWC with the goal of having better access to the post-season. If Boise State would have stayed, they'd be in but now their new conference drags them down.
Is Kansas slightly over matched? The Big 12 is impressive at #1 but it could be so much more. The 9th best team in the conference is Baylor at #58. The conference falls off a cliff to get to its tenth team as KU is #101. If it wasn't for KU, the average Big 12 team would be in the Top 25 (23.8).
There are two huge games for the playoff seeding. Troy at Tennessee and New Mexico State at Auburn. You're saying it doesn't matter much to you? It's big for the playoff and about 20 teams. If Troy wins, it would vault the Sun Belt into the playoff so their champion is in and Utah State is out. If New Mexico State wins it puts the WAC past the MAC in the safe zone at No. 7, but a loss could knock the WAC out and put the MWC or Sun Belt in the playoff.
The magic of the DFCFP is how it highlights the regular season more than any other system. Here's the process for coming up with the teams for the playoff.
1) Rank all D-1 (FBS) teams 1-124 (from Alabama to UMass) 2) Rank all the conferences 1-11 based on the average BCS rank of the teams in the conference. 3) Reward the first place team in the top 8 conferences with an automatic bid.
1. Kansas St
5. Florida State
8. Utah State
4) Independents—this means you Notre Dame—get no special treatment. If you're not in a conference, earn a wild card bid or join a conference. 5) Select 8 wild-card teams based on BCS rank excluding those already selected with an automatic bid.
1. Notre Dame
5. South Carolina
7. Oregon State
6) Rank the 16 teams based on BCS rank with no regard to status as an automatic qualifier or wild-card entry. The tournament would follow a bracket format. Although re-seeding would be a better way to reward the regular season, nothing is better than filling out a basketball bracket and I want that momentum and attention on college football. 7) First two rounds are at the home of the better seed. 8) Final Four and Championship game are played at a rotation among Fiesta, Cotton, Sugar, Rose. I'm aware that after the first two rounds there are three games left at neutral sites with four bowl game hosts. This is leverage in case the Rose wants to stick to tradition. If they duck out I've got three games and three bowls. If the Rose does want to stay involved, there would be a new bowl game created for the two teams that just missed out on the playoff. This week would be Clemson vs. Stanford.
I give you the extra bowl game just to prove that the bowls don't have to die. Clemson vs. Stanford is still a great college football game and Clemson has great fans. All these years of morbid seasons for Clemson means their fans would pack this new major bowl.
We wouldn't have 35 bowl games anymore -- sorry Pinstripe Bowl -- but some of the big ones with tradition don't have to go anywhere. If you're an Arizona fan are you saying you wouldn't go to the Holiday bowl against Texas? You'd still get the benefit of extra practices to prepare for your bowl game. Players would still get to enjoy the goodies they receive for participating. As for the fans, we get a real champion.
Feel free to ask me any questions or give me your opinions and I'll put it in the mailbag: email@example.com