Beat LA!

May 7, 2012, 3:29 PM | Updated: 6:23 pm

Score first.

Throw everything at the net to start tonight’s game.

In the wildest dreams of Coyotes fans, players, coaches,
front office members, players’ mothers, Phoenix would not
be one game away from the Western Conference Finals.

There’s always the domino theory of pressure. If the
Coyotes don’t clinch tonight, doubt will creep in their
minds about their ability to close out an opponent. The
theory says you don’t want to be forced back to Nashville.
The Predators would have home ice so they win game 6. Now
it’s the “nothing to lose” mentality because the pressure
is on the Yotes since they had two previous opportunities
to close the series and couldn’t do it. Some teams relax
better for a Game 7 that’s on the road and the momentum
would be in Nashville’s favor.

I don’t believe any of that.

Teams down 3-1 say that to make themselves think it will
happen.

Phoenix is an amazing 4-1 in playoff road games this year.
There is no fear in being forced to return to Nashville.
The path to play Nashville in the first place was via
losing a home Game 5 to Chicago and winning a clinching
road Game 6. There is nothing the Predators can do that
will recreate the pressure of the last three years.
Nashville can’t intimidate with ownership issues. The
Predators don’t create the same fear in the minds of the
Coyotes players like the phrases “Goldwater Institute,”
“Judge Redfield T. Baum,” or the worst: “Bryzgalov in
goal for the Coyotes.”

Since the Coyotes have already proven they can lose a
clinching Game 5 at home and still recover to win a road
Game 6, the pressure is minuscule tonight. The pressure
of a Game 7 is easily overcome with a coach like Dave
Tippett, a captain with the mental toughness of Shane Doan
and a steel-nerved goaltender named Mike Smith.

The risk/reward of the first goal for Game 5 is highly in
favor of the Coyotes advancing beyond the second round.
The Preds will bring everything they have to start the
game. The Coyotes should take advantage of that. It’s
Nashville who has to be overly-aggressive. It’s Nashville
who has to take risks in order to bring pressure against
Smith. It’s Nashville who’s desperate. If the Preds
score first tonight, it changes nothing. The Phoenix
Coyotes are still advancing to the Western Conference
finals.

From the Nashville perspective, they can’t handle an
opening goal by the Coyotes. Imagine the most pressure-
packed moment of your life. Your whole focus is this
moment. You give everything you have and you get punched
right in the face. No one has any confidence if they give
everything and they’re standing alone during a standing 8-
count. There’s no recovery. If the Coyotes score first,
it forces Nashville to become even more aggressive,
therefore opening up the ice that much more for Predator
mistakes.

Make no mistake, this is a big game for the Coyotes. The
catch is it’s a big game for the Coyotes in the hope of
winning the Stanley Cup. It’s not a big game in relation
to the Western Conference semifinal series between Phoenix
and Nashville. Every Nashville win allows the Kings more
rest. Accept it now, the Western Conference Finals are
the Kings @ Phoenix for Game 1. There’s no jinx. You
should not wallow in fear when you read those words.
Nashville is not beating Mike Smith three straight games.
The only question is how much rest will the Coyotes get
before the Western Conference Finals start.

Scoring first will make the rest of the game so much
easier tonight. Don’t believe me? The Predators haven’t
lost in the 2012 playoffs when they score first. They’re
5-0.
All four of their playoff losses have come after the Red
Wings or Coyotes scored first. That’s 5-0 versus 0-4.

Don’t go into a shell and let the Predators attack. Quick
counters tonight will lead to a series against Quick–
Jonathan that is.

Bring on the Kings!

Penguin Air

Doug Franz

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