PHOENIX SUNS

Tanking rankings: Suns clinch 14 percent chance at No. 1 pick

Apr 3, 2019, 9:20 PM | Updated: 9:22 pm
(AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)...
(AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
(AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)

It’s a new era for the NBA Draft lottery, which in 2019 enters the first year after reformed odds aim to limit the returns on tanking.

For the Phoenix Suns, that’s good news amid franchise turmoil, more losing and a hope for baby steps heading into next season.

Phoenix is in competition to earn the first overall pick, which used to carry 25-percent lottery odds for the worst team record-wise at the end of the season.

Now, the three worst teams all have the same odds to earn the first pick (14 percent), second pick (13.4), third pick (12.7) and fourth pick (12).

From there, the odds of picking first fall to 12.5 percent for the fourth team in the reverse standings, 10.5 percent for the fifth team and so on through the 14th team in the lottery.

The incentive to finish high, however, comes in how far a team can be lept in the lottery. The team that finishes with the worst record can only fall as far as drafting fifth. The second-worst team can fall to sixth, and so on.

With the Chicago Bulls’ win and Phoenix Suns’ loss on Wednesday, the Suns clinched a top-3 spot in the reverse standings, meaning a 14 percent chance at the No. 1 pick.

Below is a running tracker of the reverse NBA standings, their records and their draft lottery odds based off their records.

Lottery seed Team Record Games back Odds
1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
1 15-63 .140 .134 .127 .120 .479
2 18-61 2.5 .140 .134 .127 .120 .278 .200
3 19-59 4.0 .140 .134 .127 .120 .148 .260 .070

Penguin Air

Phoenix Suns

Josh Okogie #20 of the Minnesota Timberwolves during the game against the Houston Rockets at Target...
Jake Anderson

Josh Okogie agrees to 1-year deal with Phoenix Suns, per report

The Phoenix Suns have agreed to a one-year deal with free agent wing Josh Okogie, according to The Athletic‘s Shams Charania.
1 day ago
Jock Landale #34 of the San Antonio Spurs drives against Willy Hernangomez #9 of the New Orleans Pe...
Jake Anderson

Report: Phoenix Suns trading for Atlanta Hawks center Jock Landale

The Phoenix Suns are trading for Atlanta Hawks center Jock Landale, according to The Athletic's Shams Charania.
1 day ago
Kevin Durant #7 of the Brooklyn Nets reacts during Game Four of the Eastern Conference First Round ...
Alex Weiner

The Athletic’s Hollinger: Suns trade for Kevin Durant likely needs 3rd team

NBA analyst John Hollinger devised 10 Kevin Durant trades, and the Phoenix Suns option became one of the more complex.
1 day ago
Bismack Biyombo #18 of the Phoenix Suns during the first half of the NBA game at Footprint Center o...
Kellan Olson

Report: Bismack Biyombo agrees to re-sign with Phoenix Suns

Unrestricted free agent Bismack Biyomba agreed to re-sign with the Phoenix Suns Saturday morning, according to Yahoo Sports' Chris Haynes. 
1 day ago
Damion Lee #1 of the Golden State Warriors celebrates after a three point basket in the first half ...
Jake Anderson

Damion Lee agrees to 1-year deal with Phoenix Suns, per report

The Phoenix Suns have agreed to a one-year deal with free agent wing Damion Lee, according to ESPN's Adrian Wojnarowski.
2 days ago
Rudy Gobert #27 of the Utah Jazz looks on during the second half of Game 6 of the Western Conferenc...
Associated Press

Rudy Gobert traded by Utah Jazz to Minnesota Timberwolves, per reports

The Utah Jazz are reportedly trading three-time NBA Defensive Player of the Year Rudy Gobert to the Minnesota Timberwolves.
2 days ago
Tanking rankings: Suns clinch 14 percent chance at No. 1 pick