Paul Goldschmidt makes MVP case with season-ending 19-game hitting streak

Sep 30, 2013, 3:54 AM | Updated: 7:39 pm

Back on his 26th birthday, Paul Goldschmidt kicked his push for National League Most Valuable Player honors into high gear.

The Arizona Diamondbacks’ All-Star first baseman collected two hits that Tuesday, September 10, at Dodger Stadium. He hit four in the following game and one in each of the following games and, well, he hit in each of the season’s remaining games.

A 19-game hitting streak would conclude a career season for Goldschmidt; A season, the Diamondbacks believe, is worthy of being called the most valuable among National League players.

“They’re talking about other very good candidates,” Diamondbacks manager Kirk Gibson, once an NL MVP himself, said of the national media’s view of Goldschmidt during the last homestand.

“We’re certainly biased here. He proves it day in and day out. He’s everything you could want. He’s certainly deserving of Most Valuable Player.”

The first baseman was most certainly the most valuable among Diamondbacks, anyway.

On top of that, Goldschmidt leads the National League in several offensive categories, including home runs (36, along with Pittsburgh Pirates third baseman Pedro Alvarez), runs batted in (125), slugging percentage (.551), on-base-plus-slugging percentage (.952), total bases (332) and extra-base hits (75).

Goldschmidt finished fourth in on-base percentage (.401), behind Joey Votto, Andrew McCutchen and Hanley Ramirez.

Nearly 30 percent of the Diamondbacks’ home runs this season came off of Goldschmidt’s bat — the largest percentage of home runs any single player in the Major Leagues was able to give his team. And, in the same vein, Goldschmidt’s 125 RBI accounted for nearly 20 percent of his team’s RBI, as much a share of team RBI as Chris Davis was able to provide the Baltimore Orioles.

Then, there are the sabermetrics that testify of Goldschmidt’s worth.

Win Probability Added, which takes a particular game’s situational importance into account — weighing a walk-off home run, for example, as more valuable than a home run in a blowout and a go-ahead RBI more than a first-inning RBI — is one such measurement.

Among National Leaguers, Goldschmidt is a head above the competition in the statistic. Entering play Sunday, his 6.79 mark in this category led the league, with Freddie Freeman (5.56), Shin-Soo Choo (5.06), McCutchen (4.47) and Adrian Gonzalez (4.32) rounding out the top five.

According to Baseball-Reference.com, Goldschmidt ranks third in the NL in Wins Above Replacement, a metric that has surged in popularity and use over the last few years. McCutchen and the Milwaukee Brewers’ Carlos Gomez rank ahead of him, tied with an 8.2 mark, while Goldschmidt has a 7.1.

Defense, it seems, gives McCutchen and Gomez, both centerfielders, the edge in the statistic. A close look, however, proves that Goldschmidt had plenty of value away from the plate, too.

Only the Colorado Rockies’ Todd Helton had a higher fielding percentage among NL first basemen, and Goldschmidt leads the majors in first basemen “scoops,” according to FanGraphs.com, with 73 — nearly 20 ahead of any other at that position.

Finally, there’s the question of team performance — which seems to be a contradiction of the “P” in MVP. Goldschmidt’s Diamondbacks failed to reach the playoffs, and he will thus be penalized in MVP voting. Only a few players in the history of baseball have managed to capture the highest individual honor when their team failed to make the postseason.

Since 1995, the teams of MVPs have averaged a winning percentage of .573 — which translates to 93 wins over the course of a season. Despite the odds, Larry Walker of the 1997 Colorado Rockies, Barry Bonds of the 2001 and 2004 San Francisco Giants, Alex Rodriguez of the 2003 Texas Rangers, Ryan Howard of the 2006 Philadelphia Phillies and Albert Pujols of the 2008 St. Louis Cardinals managed to get the award on non-playoff teams.

On top of his season-long credentials, there’s no doubt Goldschmidt has done his best to make the most of the 19 games he’s played since turning 26 — the final contests of his season.

The only question is whether his late-season kick will hold up with the Baseball Writer’s Association of America.

Washington Nationals first baseman Michael Morse, front, fields a ground ball hit along the baseline for an out on Arizona Diamondbacks' Juan Miranda as umpire Gary Darling, rear, makes the call in the second inning of an MLB baseball game on Sunday, June 5, 2011, in Phoenix. (AP Photo/Paul Connors)
Washington Nationals manager Jim Riggleman, left, and pitcher Jason Marquis, right, question home plate umpire Rob Drake, center, about his call of a strike after Marquis was hit by a pitch from Arizona Diamondbacks pitcher Ian Kennedy in the second inning of an MLB baseball game on Sunday, June 5, 2011, in Phoenix. (AP Photo/Paul Connors) Washington Nationals' Ian Desmond, left, is tagged out by Arizona Diamondbacks' first baseman Juan Miranda, right, while diving back to the base in the second inning of an MLB baseball game on Sunday, June 5, 2011, in Phoenix. (AP Photo/Paul Connors) Washington Nationals center fielder Roger Bernadina charges in to make the catch on a fly ball hit for an out by Arizona Diamondbacks' Kelly Johnson in the third inning of an MLB baseball game on Sunday, June 5, 2011, in Phoenix. (AP Photo/Paul Connors) Washington Nationals' Michael Morse sprints for third base on a ball hit by teammate Ian Desmond off Arizona Diamondbacks pitcher Ian Kennedy in the third inning of an MLB baseball game on Sunday, June 5, 2011, in Phoenix. (AP Photo/Paul Connors) Homeplte umpire Rob Drake, right, checks on the condition of Arizona Diamondbacks' Justin Upton, left, after Upton was hit by a pitch from Washington Nationals' Jason Marquis in the sixth inning of an MLB baseball game on Sunday, June 5, 2011, in Phoenix. Marquis and Nationals manager Jim Riggleman were both ejected from the game. (AP Photo/Paul Connors) Washington Nationals' Jason Marquis winds up to deliver a pitch against the Arizona Diamondbacks in the second inning of an MLB baseball game on Sunday, June 5, 2011, in Phoenix. (AP Photo/Paul Connors) Arizona Diamondbacks' Ian Kennedy releases a pitch against the Washington Nationals in the second inning of an MLB baseball game on Sunday, June 5, 2011, in Phoenix. (AP Photo/Paul Connors) Washington Nationals' Wilson Ramos, top, points skyward as he approaches home plate after driving in teammates Danny Espinosa, bottom left, and Laynce Nix, bottom right, on a three-run home run off Arizona Diamondbacks pitcher Aaron Heilman in the eighth inning of an MLB baseball game on Sunday, June 5, 2011, in Phoenix. (AP Photo/Paul Connors) Arizona Diamondbacks catcher Miguel Montero, top, exchanges words with Washington Nationals' Danny Espinosa, bottom right, who is restrained by umpire Rob Drake, bottom left, after Espinosa was hit by a pitch from Diamondbacks pitcher Esmerling Vasquez in the eighth inning of an MLB baseball game on Sunday, June 5, 2011, in Phoenix. Vasquez and Diamondbacks manager Kirk Gibson were ejected from the game. (AP Photo/Paul Connors) Washington Nationals centerfielder Rick Ankiel dives for but cannot make the catch on a flyball hit for a single by Arizona Diamondbacks' Chris young in the ninth inning of a baseball game Sunday, June 5, 2011, in Phoenix. (AP Photo/Paul Connors) Washington Nationals' Jayson Werth (28) catches a foul ball hit by Arizona Diamondbacks' Juan Miranda in the fifth inning of their MLB baseball game on Sunday, June 5, 2011, in Phoenix. (AP Photo/Arizona Republic, David Kadlubowski) Arizona Diamondbacks' Justin Upton, left, is restrained by teammate Matt Williams after being hit with a pitch in the sixth inning against the Washington Nationals during their MLB baseball game on Sunday, June 5, 2011, in Phoenix. Nationals pitcher Jason Marquis was ejected by home plate umpire Rob Drake for hitting Upton with the pitch. (AP Photo/Arizona Republic, David Kadlubowski) Arizona Diamondbacks' Justin Upton reacts after being hit by a pitch in the sixth inning against the Washington Nationals during an MLB baseball game on Sunday, June 5, 2011, in Phoenix. Nationals pitcher Jason Marquis was ejected by home plate umpire Rob Drake for hitting Upton with the pitch. (AP Photo/Arizona Republic, David Kadlubowski) Washington Nationals second baseman Danny Espinosa, left, throws to first after forcing out Arizona Diamondbacks' Juan Miranda, right, but cannot complete the double play in the ninth inning of an MLB baseball game on Sunday, June 5, 2011, in Phoenix. (AP Photo/Paul Connors)
Washington Nationals' Michael Morse, left, crosses home plate to congratulations from teammates Rick Ankiel (24), Jayson Werth (28) and Roger Bernadina, lower left, after driving them in on a grand slam off Arizona Diamondbacks' Joe Paterson in the eleventh inning of an MLB baseball game on Sunday, June 5, 2011, in Phoenix. The Nationals won 9-4 in eleven innings. (AP Photo/Paul Connors) Washington Nationals' Michael Morse, right, hits a grand slam in front of Arizona Diamondbacks catcher Miguel Montero, center, and umpire Rob Drake, left, in the eleventh inning of an MLB baseball game on Sunday, June 5, 2011, in Phoenix. The Nationals won 9-4 in eleven innings. (AP Photo/Paul Connors) Arizona Diamondbacks pitcher Joe Paterson begins his motion while pitching against the Washington Nationals in the eleventh inning of an baseball game Sunday, June 5, 2011, in Phoenix. Paterson gave up a grand slam to Nationals' Michael Morse in the inning. The Nationals won 9-4 in eleven innings. (AP Photo/Paul Connors) Washington Nationals' Michael Morse is greeted by teammates Roger Bernadina (2) and Jayson Werth (28) after his grand slam against the Arizona Diamondbacks in the 11th inning of their baseball game Sunday, June 5, 2011 in Phoenix. (AP Photo/Arizona Republic, David Kadlubowski)

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