Still kickin’: Simulate the Cardinals’ playoff odds

Dec 4, 2016, 8:55 PM | Updated: Dec 5, 2016, 3:45 pm
Arizona Cardinals wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald (11) dives for yardage as Washington Redskins corn...

Arizona Cardinals wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald (11) dives for yardage as Washington Redskins cornerback Bashaud Breeland (26) defends during the first half of an NFL football game, Sunday, Dec. 4, 2016, in Glendale, Ariz. (AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin)

(AP Photo/Ross D. Franklin)

So they’re still alive and kickin’.

The Arizona Cardinals have put off the end to what looks likely to be a disappointing season that began with Super Bowl aspirations. We say “likely” that 2016 will be disappointing for Cardinals fans because the odds aren’t in Arizona’s favor despite a 31-23 win against Washington where the Cardinals risked it, doused their piping hot biscuit with gravy and looked a lot like last year’s 13-win team.

Still, hope accounts for “Something” as our Dave Burns wrote.

What is that something when it comes to the playoff race?

If you want to find hope without the headache of doing math yourself, the New York Times has a simulator where you can pick which games are won and lost to determine the odds. As it stands, the simulator seems to project Arizona’s chances somewhere from 4 percent to 6 percent after the Washington victory.

Indeed, there are too many things that could happen in the final four weeks to lay out a path to the playoffs. Winning out is the obvious one.

But when it comes to the rest of the league, the Cardinals at 5-6-1 remain 1.5 games behind the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, whose win Sunday put them in the final NFC wild card spot at 7-5. The Atlanta Falcons are likewise 7-5 but own the NFC South tiebreaker against Tampa Bay.

Ahead of the Cardinals just outside of the playoff picture as of Sunday evening are the Redskins (6-5-1), the Vikings (6-6) and the Packers (6-6). Arizona benefitted from the Saints (5-7) and the Eagles (5-7) losing in Week 13, as they are now chasing the Cardinals.

Who else has the odds for Arizona to make a run for a postseason berth? gives the Cards a 10-percent shot of making the playoffs, though that’s before a potential Seattle victory against Carolina on Sunday Night Football — though a Seattle win should only drop a 4-percent shot of Arizona winning the NFC West division.

Game-by-game, FiveThirtyEight has Arizona having a 50-50 chance of beating Miami on the road next week and a 70-percent shot of defeating New Orleans at home in Week 15. It gives them just a 29-percent chance of winning in Seattle in Week 16 and, finally, a 60-percent chance of finishing with a road win in Los Angeles.

Arizona Cardinals

Arizona Cardinals head coach Kliff Kingsbury talks with quarterback Kyler Murray (1) during the sec...
Arizona Sports

Report: Oklahoma to target Cardinals’ Kingsbury for head coaching job

The Arizona Cardinals hired Kliff Kingsbury ahead of the 2019 season after he was the head coach at Texas Tech.
18 hours ago
Anquan Boldin #81 of the Arizona Cardinals runs with the ball against the Pittsburgh Steelers durin...
Sam Graveline

Former Cardinals WR Anquan Boldin named semifinalist for HOF Class of 2022

Among the 26 players who were named semifinalists for the Hall of Fame's class of 2022, former Cardinals WR Anquan Boldin made the cut.
18 hours ago
Colt McCoy #12 of the Arizona Cardinals looks to pass against the Seattle Seahawks during the secon...
Arizona Sports

Colt McCoy’s pair of wins starting for Arizona Cardinals: By the numbers

There are a handful of notable numbers to take away from Colt McCoy's two wins as a starter for the Arizona Cardinals.
6 days ago
Chandler Jones #55 of the Arizona Cardinals reacts after his tackle against the Seattle Seahawks du...
Tyler Drake

By the numbers: The Arizona Cardinals’ dominance during their 9-2 run

There's no doubting the Cardinals' success so far in 2021. A closer look at Arizona's impressive play through 11 games.
5 days ago
GLENDALE, ARIZONA - JULY 30: JJ Watt #99 of the Arizona Cardinals talks to Chandler Jones #55 durin...
Arizona Sports

Cardinals’ J.J. Watt pays for funeral costs of Waukesha parade victims

Cardinals' J.J. Watt paid honor to the people of the Waukesha parade tragedy in Wisconsin by covering the funeral costs for all six victims.
3 days ago
Arizona Cardinals players celebrate after defeating the Seattle Seahawks 23-13 at Lumen Field on No...
Tyler Drake

Cardinals’ 2021 road success vs. NFC West rivals that of teams past

The Arizona Cardinals haven't left anything up to chance when it comes to playing on the road in 2021, especially against the NFC West.
3 days ago
Still kickin’: Simulate the Cardinals’ playoff odds