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Doug & Wolf

Updated Jan 12, 2011 - 7:40 pm

Doug Franz College Football Playoff – Week 4

The week 4 standings are out for the BCS.

In case you don’t know from the things I’ve said on air. I want a playoff in college football but I don’t have a problem with the BCS formula. I just don’t want it used to narrow the field from 120 to 2.

I have yet to hear any “pro current system” argument that I can’t destroy on logical grounds. Of course there’s one argument I can’t beat and that is anyone saying they like the current system and they don’t want it changed. Other than that, I’m still waiting for someone to convince me to give up my dream for a college football playoff.

Every week I’ll be putting before you the Doug Franz College Football Playoff. Every week the BCS rankings will change, therefore changing the teams making the playoff. If you want an explanation for the way my formula works, check the bottom of the blog.
Here’s the playoff pairings if the regular season ended today.

16) Nevada @ 1) Florida

15) Houston @ 2) Alabama

14) Miami @ 3) Texas

13) Oregon @ 4) TCU

12) Pitt @ 5) UC

11) Ohio St @ 6) Boise St

10) Iowa @ 7) Ga Tech

9) LSU @ 8) USC

OBSERVATIONS:
Ga Tech went from a #10 seed travelling to the site of the #7 to a #7 hosting Iowa.

Iowa lost home field in the first two rounds. If they lose to OSU, they’ll fall out of the playoff—and “they” say the regular season doesn’t matter when you have a playoff.

Penn State was knocked out of the DFCFP.
If Utah and UofA win, they’ll be in.

Remember the whole split national championship between LSU and USC? Tell me the whole formula I came up with isn’t captivating the second you read that matchup!

By Alabama playing someone tougher than the dregs of the Big 12, they leap frog Texas, Forcing Texas into a much tougher game with Miami.

Oregon went from a #5 seed to barely hanging on in the DFCFP.

The SEC is the only conference with 3 teams.

CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN:
By ranking every team, you get a true representation of the best conference by simply taking the average BCS rank of every team in the conference. This playoff system makes every game vital because it rewards teams and conferences alike.

Here’s the ranking of the conferences after week 4 of the BCS and the average BCS rank of the teams in the conference.

1) SEC 36.33

2) Pac-10 37.3

3) Big East 40.5

4) Big 10 49

5) ACC 52.25

6) Big 12 52.83

7) MWC 61.67

8) WAC 72.56

9) C-USA 80.25

10) MAC 90.54

11) Sun Belt 94.33

On the surface it looks like a mistake that 58th ranked Nevada is in the poll. It’s not a mistake but it will change quickly. The WAC is the 8th ranked conference based on BCS average. Right now, Nevada is 5-0 in conference while Boise State is 4-0. This is of vital importance to whoever occupies the 16th spot in the BCS. As soon as Nevada losses in WAC play, they’re out of the playoff and Boise is in as an automatic qualifier, opening a spot for a wild card. In this case it would be Utah but we know that will change after Utah/TCU.

I’m shocked at how close the Pac-10 is to claiming the top spot as the toughest conference in college football.

The Big 12 took a huge hit in the standings. Imagine going to Texas and telling Longhorn fans they play in the weakest BCS conference. They’d go nuts but the numbers don’t lie. Nebraska is the highest ranked team in the BCS North at 40th. The problem is they’re not in first place. Right now 62nd ranked Kansas State is.

Here’s the process for coming up with the teams.
1) Rank all D-1 (FBS) teams 1-120 (from Florida-Western Kentucky)

2) Rank all the conferences 1-11 based on the average BCS rank of the teams in the conference.

3) Reward the first place team in the top 8 conferences with an automatic bid.

4) Independents—this means you Notre Dame—get no special treatment. If you’re not in a conference, earn a wild card bid or join a conference.

5) Select 8 wild-card teams based on BCS rank excluding those already selected with an automatic bid.

6) Rank the 16 teams based on BCS rank with no regard to status as an automatic qualifier or wild-card entry.

7) First two rounds are at the home of the better seed.

8) Final Four and Championship game are played at a rotation among Fiesta, Cotton, Sugar, Rose.

I’m aware that there are three games at neutral sites with four bowl game hosts. This is leverage in case the Rose wants to stick to tradition. If the Rose does want to stay involved, there would be a new bowl game created for the two teams that just missed out on the playoff. This week would be Utah v Arizona.

Feel free to ask me any questions or give me your opinions: doug@ktar.com

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