Game 7 odds and history ahead of Diamondbacks-Phillies NLCS finale
Oct 24, 2023, 12:05 PM | Updated: 3:52 pm
The Diamondbacks are underdogs in Game 7 of the NLCS against the Philadelphia Phillies. FanDuel has the D-backs as +144 and the Phillies at -172 on the money line as of Tuesday morning.
A fast start is vital for both ballclubs, as teams that score first are 82-47 all-time in winner-take-all postseason games, according to Elias.
Also, teams to homer in the first inning of a winner-take-all postseason game have an all-time record of 16-11. Teams to score at least three runs in the first inning of a winner-take-all game are 10-4 all-time.
But statistically, there hasn’t been much of a home field advantage. True home teams are 62-64 all-time in winner-take-all postseason games (leaving out 2020 games played at neutral sites), according to Sarah Langs.
The only time the D-backs played in a Game 7 in their history was when Luis Gonzalez famously blooped a one-out single over Derek Jeter’s head in the bottom of the ninth inning off Mariano Rivera to upset the three-time defending champion New York Yankees in the 2001 World Series.
This is the first Game 7 in franchise history for the Phillies (dating back to 1883).
Who is pitching in NLCS Game 7 of Diamondbacks-Phillies?
Brandon Pfaadt will get the ball for the Diamondbacks, while Ranger Suárez will get the nod for the Phillies.
Teams are 3-8 in postseason history when their starting pitcher goes less than an inning in a winner-take-all game, according to Langs.
How to watch NLCS Game 7
Location: Citizens Bank Park
Time: 5:07 p.m.
Radio: The Arizona Sports app and 98.7 FM
How many Game 7s have there been in MLB history?
There have been 60 winner-take-all Game 7s, between the World Series and LCS, counting the 1912 World Series, which required an eighth game but only due to an earlier tie.
Leaving out 2020 games played at neutral sites, home teams have gone 30-28, according to MLB.com. Since the LCS expanded to a best-of-seven format in 1985, true home teams (excluding neutral-site games) are 11-7 in ALCS and NLCS Game 7s.
How have other Arizona teams fared in Game 7s?
The Suns are 4-6 in franchise history in Game 7s, and the Coyotes are 0-3 in their history in Game 7s.
The last time an Arizona team played in a Game 7 was when the Suns lost by 33 points against Dallas in the 2022 conference semifinals.